Friday, 10 October 2014

Latitude: To Print Its Own Laminated Wood Panels

On 8th Oct 2014, Latitude Tree has entered into Sales & Purchase Agreement with subsidiaries of another listed company KPS Consortium, to acquire a 4.4-acre freehold industrial land, together with its office, factory and machinery for total cash of RM22mil.

The factory in Klang, which is near to Latitude's HQ in Kapar, was used for manufacturing of printed laminated wood by KPS Consortium. KPS has moved its manufacturing activity to a new place.




Latitude does not buy the company or its business. It has to start from scratch and hire management personnel and workers to run the manufacturing process.

It is clear that Latitude wants to grow into upstream activity of furniture manufacturing by enhancing its furniture products using the decorative wood panels manufactured from this newly acquired factory.

I don't think Latitude will sell the products to others in the early stage so it will not contribute much to the revenue. It will not be a surprise to see operational loss in this operation next year.

Though expenses will increase, overall this should be positive for Latitude in the long run as it can design and manufacture its own laminated wood panel, compared to outsource from other suppliers.

For me, the management is working to grow the company and enhance the value for shareholders.


Wednesday, 8 October 2014

MEGA Sales?

In September 2014, I just added Huayang into my portfolio. I plan to buy more Huayang's shares this month, as I think I still don't have enough.

When its share price dropped to RM2.26 on 3rd Oct 2014, I thought it was a good opportunity to collect more, so I bought again with all my remaining fund. 

Nevertheless, now it seems like I can get it at much lower price...

After two days of panic sell across the market, Huayang drops to a low of RM2.00. It may go further lower if bad news for property sector is announced in Budget 2015.

All the stocks in my portfolio are not exempted from a heavy fall. This makes me think of a stock market correction in August last year.


       KLCI minor correction in Aug13


At that time, I just started my new chapter of investment journey a month earlier. I picked a few stocks which I thought were fundamentally good & undervalued.

Most of those stocks now are still in my current portfolio, which are Gtronic, Inari, Scientex & YOCB.

During that episode of minor stock market correction, all my newly-acquired stocks plunged into loss.

RM Cost Lowest Loss (%)
GTRONIC 2.43 2.31 -4.9
INARI 0.73 0.715 -2.1
SCIENTEX 5.47 4.62 -15.5
YOCB 0.69 0.61 -11.6


Tambun which was my jumbo shareholding, was the one that suffered the most in which its share price collapsed more than 20% (RM1.50 to RM1.16) in 3 days, though it didn't fall below my cost price.

Anyway, I did not panic sell, though I was panic and also worry. 

If I sell those stocks then, I'm not sure whether I will ever get them back into my portfolio. Luckily I didn't sell I would say.

I posted an article in this blog soon after the market correction in September in Buy, Hold Or Sell.

I can't really remember what I wrote at that time. Looking back, I am amazed to find this paragraph below.

" For the past 3 weeks when KLCI started to dive, I actually did nothing, because the companies I hold are doing very well financially... As a result, I see my overall paper profit falls almost 60% at one point. Now even though most share price slowly crawl upwards, I think it is unlikely to reach previous peak within this year. Should I accumulate more shares at lower price or sell now in anticipation of another stock market slump? "


Hmm.. it seems like I was so confident with my pick at that time. Or is it because I'm too slow to respond? Haha!

Retrospectively, I was right not to sell any shares at that time. I learned a lesson for not having spare cash to buy at that opportunity. So I always mention in my monthly review later that I want to keep some cash to prepare for the next market crash.

Readers who follow my blogs will know that I still fail to accumulate any significant amount of free cash until today. I tend to throw the cash into the market when I see it.

So with Gtronic at RM4.00, Inari at RM2.80, Huayang at RM2.00, I can only LOOK at them.

I mentioned last year that the share price of those stocks that I hold are unlikely to reach previous peak within year 2013. I was so wrong by saying that.



Anyway, it might just be the beginning of a bear market now, even though personally I think that this is unlikely.

You can convert all your shares into cash now, but what if tomorrow the stock market stage a spectacular rebound?

You can hold on to all your stocks or buy more now, but what if tomorrow the diarrhoea becomes bloody?

Market is unpredictable and you should buy and sell at your own risk.


Monday, 6 October 2014

Tambun: Sales Are Not Bad Indeed

Lets have a glance at Tambun Indah's Pearl City projects:

  • Pearl Garden - OC
  • Pearl Villa - OC
  • Pearl Square 1 & 2 - OC
  • Pearl Indah 1, 2 & 3 - OC
  • Pearl Avenue 1 - OC soon (est 2015)
  • Pearl Residence - OC soon (est 2015)
  • Pearl Impian - OC soon (est 2015)
  • Pearl Harmoni - U/C
  • Raintree Park 1 - Open for sale
  • Pearl 28 - Open for registration
  • Avenue Garden Suites (condo) - Open for registration
  • Central Avenue (shops) - Open for registration


Photo below shows the sales status of one of its latest launch Pearl Harmoni, which is priced at above RM400k for double storey terrace. It is 83% sold out of 362 units available. I think this is an extremely good response if the stickers are true.


       Pearl Harmoni


Raintree Park 1 also gets almost similar response from buyers for those units opened for sale.


Apart from Pearl City, other projects by Tambun Indah are:

  • Carissa Park (BW) - OC
  • Dahlia Park (BW) - OC
  • Capri Park (BW) - OC
  • Kelisa Residence (BW) - OC
  • Tanjung Heights (BW) - OC
  • Carissa Villas (BW) - OC
  • Impian Residence (BM) - OC
  • Camellia Park (BW) - U/C
  • Straits Garden (PG) - U/C
  • BM Residence (BM) - OC soon (est 2015)
  • Bukit Residence (BM) - Open for sale
  • Permai Residence (BM) - Open for sale

From recent new projects for sale, I think Permai Residence should be the one that will register poorest sales. 

However, it still achieves almost 70% take-up rate to date, which is not bad indeed. Other recent launch Bukit Residence achieves even better response compared to Permai Residence.


       Permai Residence @ Bukit Mertajam


Going forward, I think Tambun's top & bottom lines will be supported mostly by billings from Pearl Residence & Straits Garden. Its earning visibility should be good in the next 1-2 years.

If it wishes to generate consistent growth, more projects need to be launched continuously. So the recent land acquisition at Pearl City is positive for the company.

Construction for its International School is running fast while earthwork has been started for Pearl City Mall.

As its Pearl City grows in population and business activities, its accessibility need to be improved. I hope that Tambun Indah will acknowledge this and work closely with the local authority to ease the traffic in Pearl City before it becomes a big issue.


       GEMS International School @ Pearl City


Last month I have reduced my Tambun shares slightly. However, it does not mean that Tambun will not grow or it is not good anymore. Tambun is my largest share holding so whenever I need some money it will become the "victim". I have sold some before in April at RM1.95. 

My overall investment fund is still limited, I feel that I can't just put too much in Tambun now as there might be other stocks which can give better & faster growth.

Tambun has given me more than 200% gain on paper after holding it for 3 years. Its future is still bright, with the property spotlight being shifted to Seberang Perai Selatan. I will not sell all its shares unless its earning drops significantly or it does not give good dividends anymore.

Wednesday, 1 October 2014

My Portfolio Sep14

Summary for September 2014

Sep 2014
Numbers of stocks 8
Cash/Share ratio n/a
Share Bought Huayang @ 2.32 & 2.42
Share Sold Tambun @ 2.45 & 2.60 (part)
Protasco @ 1.68 (all)


Overall 2014
Portfolio Return Sep14 4.9%
KLCI Return Sep14 -1.06%
Portfolio Return YTD14 71.2%
KLCI Return YTD14 -1.11%


Stock Portfolio @ End of Sep14

Core Portfolio
Stocks Average Latest G/L (%)
None




Satellite Portfolio
Stocks Average Latest G/L (%)
GTRONIC 2.43 4.68 92.6
HUAYANG 2.36 2.34 -1.1
INARI 0.73 3.23 342.5
LATITUD 2.09 3.80 81.8
MATRIX 2.09 3.25 55.5
SCIENTEX 5.47 7.44 36.0
TAMBUN 0.77 2.57 233.8
YOCB 0.69 1.02 47.8


Comment:

  • Tambun is relegated to satellite portfolio, as I think core portfolio should be reserved for stock with huge potential upside. 
  • Sold all Protasco shares due to uncertainty in the company (boardroom & legal suit).
  • Chose Huayang over OSKProp, due to its track record and upcoming Puchong West development.
  • No significant change in exposure to property sector to date, after selling off Protasco and part of Tambun, and buying Huayang.

Plan:
  • To collect more Huayang shares on weakness.
  • To watch plantation stocks closely.
  • To look for a new member for core portfolio.