Summary For Jun21
Stock Portfolio @ End of Jun21
Anyway, SCIB has finally released its FY21Q1 result which was a bit of relief to me even though the result was slightly below my expectation.
So far there is still no mention of any accounting issue by its external auditor KPMG.
Besides SCIB, JHM also released its delayed FY21Q1 result in June. To me it's a good result even though there is a net forex gain of RM2.3mil.
The management is fairly optimistic about the near future so I think the growth potential is still intact despite being slowed down by multiple MCOs.
JHM recently signed a technical collaboration agreement with Jiangsu Dekai Auto Parts from China to supply automotive lighting for PROTON.
Dekai is China's Tier 1 automotive lighting manufacturer that supply its products directly to OEM customers.
Krono also released its FY21Q1 result (ended Apr21) and I can't say it's not good since it was its highest Q1 revenue and net profit ever.
As usual, the management painted a good picture on the group's prospect so I'll continue to hold its shares at least until it completes the acquisition of remaining shares in Quantum China Limited.
MyNews registered its biggest quarterly loss of RM10.3mil in its FY21Q2, with the loss widened from RM8.9mil in preceding quarter.
This does not come to a surprise to me since it's a period of MCO 2.0. I'd expect the result to be worse in FY21Q3 due to "Full MCO".
Currently CU has only opened 4 stores at Centrepoint Bandar Utama, Bandar Puteri Puchong, Rohas Perkasa KLCC & Desa Petaling. Coming stores will be at IOI City Mall, 1 Utama Shopping Center and perhaps Kepong area.
Definitely the speed of opening up new stores has been slowed down by MCO, but MCO might result in more strategic retail spaces become available.
The bar chart below shows the revenue and after-tax loss of myNews Food Processing Center (FPC) since its commencement in FY19Q3.
FPC is just 51%-owned by myNews. Even though its revenue has dropped approximately 50% since the pandemic, the net losses are still not too bad compared to pre-Covid level.
Anyway, RM3mil loss per quarter is still a RM12mil loss in one year. I'm optimistic that it will turn positive once economy and movement restriction are over in 2022.
The FY21Q3 quarter result of Scientex was impressive. Even though its PATAMI was down 2% QoQ, it's its highest ever Q3 PATAMI by 50%!
Recently despite subdued property market, Scientex is very aggressive in acquiring huge tracts of lands, as below:
- May21: Tebrau (Johor) 959.7 acres freehold land for RM518mil
- Apr21: Tasek Gelugor (Penang) 343 acres freehold land RM246.6mil
- Sep20: Pulai (Johor) 202 acres freehold land for RM185mil
- Aug20: Jasin (Melaka) 1,357 acres freehold land for RM260mil
These lands are huge and suitable for township development. Together with its existing landbanks, it will certainly keep Scientex busy for at least 10 years!
In its latest quarter report, Scientex mentioned that it has completed the acquisition of 161.6 acres of development land in Sungai Petani, Kedah even though I can't find this announcement in Bursa website.
To me, the location of both Sungai Petani & Tasek Gelugor are not very good but it should be alright for affordable housing development.
Brent crude oil price has reached USD76 which equals it highest level in year 2019 but the share price of Hibiscus still cannot reach 2019's level of above RM1.00.
The good news of the acquisition of decent producing assets from Repsol does not seem to excite investors too much.
The share price of LeonFB also does not move much despite a super impressive quarter result.
Meanwhile the loss-making Genetec which I sold earlier at average RM4.20, is at RM13 per share now...
I'm tempted to add one or two new stocks into my portfolio but I have too many stocks now. So eventually I decided to buy a bit more shares in Maybulk & MFCB in June.
Until today, the Covid-19 situation in Malaysia is still rather bad. FMCO has been extended and it seems no sign to an end soon.
There are more sufferings now and people are begging for full re-opening of the economy. However, the number of new Covid-19 cases are climbing above 6,000 for sixth straight days.
Recently a friend called me to gather at his house together with 5 other friends. I said no but he said that there's nothing to be scared since everyone will wear masks.
This mentality is the main reason we can't control our Covid-19 cases.
Lets say seven people gather and one of them has asymptomatic Covid-19 and spread it to everyone there. Then those 7 people go back home and workplace to spread the virus to their family members and colleagues.
Initially it's just one Covid-19 case but it has become 20-30 cases because of this gathering.
Can I call this ignorant, selfish, sad or plain stupid?
Anyway, I think the stock market will be flat in July and I'm still optimistic that it will end the year in good fashion.
Our Covid-19 vaccination rate has increased tremendously with 250,000 doses given per day, and will probably go higher as more private clinics and factories will join in.
250,000 doses per day means 7.5 million doses in a month or 3.25 million people will complete 2 doses of vaccination.
In such speed, I think we should be able to achieve herd immunity by year end if the supply of vaccines is adequate.
Nevertheless, vaccination will not give 100% protection.
Sooner or later human will learn to live with Covid-19 virus, and we will surely live, travel and work like we usually do, hopefully soon.
"Brent crude oil price has reached USD76 which equals it highest level in year 2019 but the share price of Hibiscus still cannot reach 2019's level of above RM1.00."
ReplyDeleteI bought some Hibiscus lately, and i will consider to add if its price remains at <70sen per share. The stock price of many US' energy companies have risen 50%-100% YTD in tandem with the rising crude oil price. Hibiscus' price rose merely <20% YTD. The analysts cover Hibiscus also commented that it is relatively cheap if compared against its global peers. I believe its stock price is partially impacted by gloomy Bursa market.
"The share price of LeonFB also does not move much despite a super impressive quarter result."
ReplyDeleteMany steel companies' posted impressive Jan-Mar'21 quarterly results and their stock price came down by quite a lot in Jun and July MTD. I opine that the steel theme has not over like glove theme in previous year. The steel price in China has came down from the peak in early May'21 but not in all the countries. I read from article that the steel price in US is still standing strong due to high demand; US' steel price/MT is higher than China's. Different countries will have their local steel price although we used to refer to China's since it is the biggest producing country.
With the infrastructure projects to kick-off in US and other countries to re-vitalize their economy, i believe steel price and steel stocks still have legs to run. It may be a good time to buy back some steel stocks which i sold previously. I have bought back Mycron and CSCSteel. I am looking at Leon Fuat and Hiaptek now, i think both have good prospect.
I also believe that international steel price will stay high for quite a while but not so confident that mid-low stream players' profit will continue to grow. As almost all steel stocks have fallen 20-30% lately, it might be a good opportunity to have a look.
Delete"So eventually I decided to buy a bit more shares in Maybulk & MFCB in June."
ReplyDeleteI just took a closer look at MFCB, and i think it would be another stock in my portfolio in near future. At RM3.65 per share, and based on the reported EPS in last 4 quarters, it is selling at ~10x PE multiple, which is cheap for a company with steady income and cash flow from its Laos power plant, coupled with growth catalyst from its packaging segment. I agree that when a company is cash-rich (or going to be cash rich), there can be some positive surprise on the way provided the management does not mis-manage or mis-invest the cash.
It is not in my urgent-to-buy list bcos i think (and i hope) its stock price won't move fast as its growth will not realize so soon. I plan to buy later.
My eye is on its fifth turbine. MFCB registered quite a lot of revenue and profit for its 4 turbines hydropower plant. So I'd expect same model which is 25% if the 5th turbine is given green light. I think good news on 5th turbine might rally its share price. Unlike Jaks, MFCB will get the cash directly as it's 80%-owned.
Delete"Anyway, I think the stock market will be flat in July and I'm still optimistic that it will end the year in good fashion."
ReplyDeleteI am optimistic on Bursa performance in 2H 2021. Bursa was the worst performing market in 1H 2021 in Asia; the 2nd worst was Philipines; the Asia best performing market was Taiwan with ~20% return in 1H 2021.
The worst in 1H 2021 is a good news for its coming 2H 2021. I suppose some may agree with this "theory". More importantly, i believe the vaccination will eventually put the pandemic behind us. We should see much lower infection number by end 2021. Thus, as long as US stocks do not collapse in 2021 (I beleive it won't), our Bursa performance will play catch up in 2H 2021.
That's why I have many stocks in my buying list now and am busy in buying since early July'21 :P
If current vaccine is proven not effective at all against current and future new variants, then it will be very bad indeed. Just IF. Now all hope is on vaccines.
Delete"MyNews registered its biggest quarterly loss of RM10.3mil in its FY21Q2, with the loss widened from RM8.9mil in preceding quarter."
ReplyDeleteI have promoted MyNews to my core stock now. I cannot get <80sen, so i have to be satisfied to buy at 80+sen. If it comes down to <80sen, I will add.
"Recently despite subdued property market, Scientex is very aggressive in acquiring huge tracts of lands"
Scientex will be a good stock to look at if and when the property market recovers. It is in my watch list.
Share price of myNews does not drop too much despite bad results and severity of Covid-19 in Klang Valley. I really like the variety of RTE food and Korean groceries available in CU.
DeleteHI Bursadummy, do you have any concern of the growth of Maybulk since it has less than 10 drybulk ships only? It seems to me the only upside is the sustainability of the dry bulk rates and normalisation of its earning. Given that it will be expensive to buy more ship currently, wouldn't you think the growth is rather limited? Curious to hear your view.
ReplyDeleteHi, I do hope that Maybulk has more bulkers now but sadly it doesn't... I hope that it won't sell the one committed for sales. Anyway, I think the rise of shipping rate is enough to make Maybulk attractive as it's not a small rise. If it's easy to expand fleet now, then the shipping rate will not be able to go higher and sustain for long. In the near future who knows Maybulk can charter a few more? I hope that it can deliver good earnings for at least 2-3 years and give good dividends. I can't predict the movement of share price especially the market now is very forward looking...
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