Thursday, 25 September 2014

Scientex: Consumer Packaging To Drive Growth

Scientex FY14Q4 Financial Result

Revenue 415.4 426.8 383.5 364.8 371.2
PBT 56.0 48.1 44.4 37.8 40.2
PBT% 13.5 11.3 11.6 10.4 10.9
PATAMI 48.8 37.2 33.9 29.3 30.3

Manu Rev 297.3 317.2 288.5 289.2 277.4
Manu OP 18.8 16.4 15.9 17.7 20.6
Prop Rev 118.1 109.6 95.0 75.6 93.8
Prop OP 36.9 32.5 29.3 22.2 31.4

Total Equity 712.7 686.2 649.9 635.9 628.7
Total Assets 1400.4 1333.2 1304.4 1263.1 1286.4
Trade Receivables 243.5 274.8 251.7 209.7 195.5
Inventories 109.0 82.1 76.3 86.0 80.7
Cash 83.8 56.4 89.3 91.2 152.2
Prop Dev Cost 104.6 71.8 74.4 57.5 68.5

Total Liabilities 665.0 624.9 633.3 606.8 637.7
Trade Payables 272.1 238.9 214.2 229.4 258.4
ST Borrowings 262.9 179.1 205.8 167.9 167.6
LT Borrowings 77.5 156.2 163.7 164.3 167.8

Net Cash Flow -68.4 -95.8 -62.9 -61.0 115.8
Operation 153.5 89.5 30.9 13.5 209.7
Investment -149.2 -106.7 -67.0 -54.1 -345.0
Financing -72.7 -78.6 -26.8 -20.4 251.2

EPS 22.09 16.43 15.34 13.27 13.80
NAS 3.22 3.10 2.94 2.88 2.84
D/E Ratio 0.36 0.41 0.43 0.38 0.29

Again, Scientex breaks its quarterly net profit record by posting a PATAMI of RM48.8mil (Up 31.1% QoQ) in the final quarter of FY14, even though revenue drops slightly by 2.7% QoQ.

Both manufacturing and property divisions perform equally well as shown in the table above.

Balance sheet remain healthy with slight reduction in net debt/equity ratio from 0.41 to 0.36.

Net cash flow for FY14 stays in negative territory due to high capex and generous dividend paid to shareholders amounting to RM57.5mil (FY13). Cash flow from operation remains strong.

Revenue 1590.5 1229.0 881.0 804.0 694.8
Revenue growth % 29.4 39.5 9.6 15.7
PBT 182.3 143.0 107.2 96.6 70.8
PBT% 11.5 11.6 12.2 12.0 10.2
PATAMI 148.5 110.3 83.9 77.2 60.3
PATAMI growth % 34.6 31.4 8.7 28.0

EPS 64.57 51.00 39.00 35.90 28.00
NTA 3.22 2.84 2.44 2.17 1.92
ROE 20.8 17.5 16.0 16.5 14.6
DPS 21.0 26.0 14.0 12.0 9.0

Overall for its full FY2014 ended in 31st July 2014, Scientex achieves revenue and PATAMI growth of 29.4% and 34.6% respectively compared to FY2013. Both revenue of RM1.59bil & PATAMI of 148.5mil are new high for Scientex.

This impressive result is mainly due to increased contribution from its consumer packaging division (acquisition & increased production capacity) & encouraging demand for its property in Johor especially Taman Scientex Senai which has a GDV of RM1.3bil.

Total property sales in FY14 reaches about RM470mil. Unbilled sales stays at RM537mil at the end of FY14. It still has 896 acres of development land with potential GDV of about RM4.3bil.

ROE has breached 20% mark for the first time at 20.8%

With FY14 EPS of 64.6sen (base on total shares of 230mil), my target price for Scientex will be RM7.75 (PE 12x). 

Scientex declares final dividend of 13sen for FY14, making it a total of 21sen or 3% dividend yield at share price of RM7.00. This represents a 32.5% payout from FY14's PATAMI. There is no special dividend this year so dividend this year is lower than previous year's 26sen.

Scientex will certainly need more cash in the near future for expansion in its consumer packaging business. Nevertheless, management promises to keep the dividend payout policy of at least 30%.

       Acquisition of Great Wall Plastic in 2013

Meanwhile, Scientex has entered into a share sale agreement with Japanese packaging film manufacturer Futamura Chemical, in which the latter will subscribe to 5 million new ordinary shares of Scientex Great Wall Sdn Bhd (SGW) at a price of RM40mil. 

This 5 million shares will represent 5% equity interest in SGW with the remaining 95% held by Scientex through its wholly-owned subsidiary Scientex Packaging Film Sdn Bhd.

This means that there will be no enlargement in total paid up shares of Scientex Berhad, thus no dilution of EPS.

However, 5% of earning from SGW will be allocated to Futamura as non-controlling interest.

Futamura has the option to purchase up to another 15% (total 20%) of SGW shares in the next 5 years. It can also sell back the shares to Scientex in 3 years.

SGW is formed as a subsidiary of Scientex's consumer packaging business after the recent acquisition of Great Wall Plastic & Seacera Film. Before this Scientex only involves in industrial packaging.

The equity participation of Futamura will facilitate SGW to build a new world class BOPP film manufacturing plant adhering to stringent Japanese standards and quality in Pulau Indah, Malaysia.

The total investment cost is expected to reach RM170mil which will increase Scientex BOPP film production output by 10 times from 6,000 MT to 60,000 MT per annum.

The new BOPP plant is expected to be completed by the second half of year 2016.

Besides gaining Japanese technology, Scientex will be able to grow its consumer packaging products presence in Japan, while assisting Futamura to develop and market its products in South East Asia region.

This will be a win-win situation for both parties.

       Acquisition of Seacera Film in 2014

Meanwhile, SGW will also extend its product portfolio to the manufacturing of cast polypropylene (CPP) film through an expansion plan costing approximately RM50mil. The production lines with production output of 12,000 MT per annum are expected to start operation by the second half of year 2015.

Scientex will allocate RM240mil capex over the next 2 years for expansion mentioned above. It expects the annual production capacity of its consumer packaging segment to increase to 120,000 MT in 2017, from current level of 30,000 MT.

This means that annual revenue from this segment may grow from current RM295mil to over RM1bil by FY2018! Don't forget that Scientex still has its property & industrial packaging segment.

       Scientex: Publicly listed in 1990

Along its 46 years of history, Scientex has made 3 game-changing moves. First, it diversified into plantation business in 1977 with 1,004 acres land in Pasir Gudang. After that, this plantation land has proven to be a stepping stone for its foray into property development in 1993. Scientex then further enhanced its value by expansion into consumer packaging segment since 2013. 

Judging from the history, there is no reason not to believe that Scientex might emerge as a blue chip stock in the future.


  1. Your patience on Scientex bear fruits :)

    I still remember the first time I bought it, it was the time when he acquired Great Wall. It was around RM2.5-3.0. Looking at Great Wall result and add into Scientex consolidate result, it's just too good to be ignored.

    But I sold it off this year around Rm5 because I lost patience on it as the price didnt move much :( .. Lame excuses haha It's a great lesson for me to learn in terms of discipline. I hope I can dump the shares into a safety box without looking at the price.

    That time I not so comfortable with its manufacturing margin whether the economic of scale & networking effect of the acquisition would really takes place. And since its net profit is contributed more from its property development segment, I just afraid a slight dip in performance from this segment will hurt it a lot. So in the end, I did what I not ought to do.

    If you read back the history of the group, the management really v good. They consolidated their manufacturing segment earlier and disposed or divested non-core manufacturing and focus sorely on plastic packaging and move forward from there.

    1. I also learnt a lesson. Until July this year, I think that I'm lucky not to put too much into Scientex. Now I regret why I invest so little in Scientex. I know how good it is but I lack confidence by concentrate too much on its share price movement...

    2. I also share the same concern about the huge amount of property contribution to its bottom line...

  2. Hi BD,
    My target price is higher, I would give PE 15x due to it's good visibility high growth potential and, as you said, it's potential to emerge as blue chip stock in future :)

    1. I tend to aim lower so that there will be more positive surprise! So your TP is close to RM10? Great !