Thursday, 28 August 2014

YOCB: A Dilemma...

YOCB FY14Q4 Financial Result

YOCB (RM mil) FY14Q4 FY14Q3 FY14Q2 FY14Q1 FY13Q4
Revenue 53.5 47.2 50.7 46.5 40.6
PBT 2.4 7.8 9.8 7.1 5.2
PBT% 4.5 16.5 19.3 15.3 12.8
PAT 2.0 5.9 6.9 5.2 3.9






Total Equity 153.0 154.2 148.3 144.6 139.3
Total Assets 196.2 195.6 195.6 178.9 177.9
Trade Receivables 52.1 49.7 56.5 41.1 40.0
Inventories 65.8 69.2 68.6 62.3 57.2
Cash 35.0 32.6 31.8 36.4 41.4






Total Liabilities 43.2 41.4 47.3 34.3 38.6
Trade Payables 14.6 8.2 14.0 8.0 11.6
ST Borrowings 25.9 29.0 29.0 23.2 24.1
LT Borrowings 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0






Net Cash Flow -6.4 -8.7 -9.6 -5.0 11.5
Operation 4.7 -0.8 -10.9 -0.7 12.6
Investment -6.4 -6.4 -0.3 -0.2 -2.0
Financing -4.6 -1.6 1.7 -4.1 0.9






EPS 1.24 3.68 4.34 3.27 2.44
NAS 0.96 0.96 0.93 0.90 0.87
Net D/E Ratio Net Cash Net Cash Net Cash Net Cash Net Cash


For YOCB's latest FY14Q4 results, there are 2 surprises, one positive & one negative.

The negative surprise is PBT crashed 69% & 54% both QoQ & YoY respectively to just RM2.4mil. This almost certainly means the share price might crash too.

The positive surprise is quarterly revenue reaches all-time high at RM53.5mil, despite the fact that Q4 is its weakest quarter traditionally.

If the profit falls like this because of less sales made, then it is a yellow flag and most probably I will sell.

If the profit falls but sales does not fall but instead rise to a record high, then it is a dilemma...




From YOCB super simple financial report, it just mentions that the lower profit in current quarter is due to higher operating cost, accruals & provision made for certain expenses. There is no breakdown of those expenses.

In this case I would like to know the gross margin but it is not available. Could it be due to some one-off expenses?

On the other hand, higher revenue is due to higher consignment, boutique and export sales, as well as fair & pre-Hari Raya sales.

This year Hari Raya falls on 28th & 29th July, which is only 10 days earlier than last year's 8th & 9th August. Nevertheless, FY13Q4 & FY14Q1 were its two weakest quarters in term of both revenue and profit.


YOCB Segmental Results (FY14 vs FY13)
YOCB (RM mil) FY14 Rev FY13 Rev FY14 PBT FY13 PBT
Investment 0 0 6.4 4.8
Design & Manufacturing 33.2 29.0 4.9 5.7
Retailing 31.0 26.9 4.3 2.6
Distribution & Trading 133.8 122.7 17.0 18.2


From the analysis of segmental reporting, all 3 main business segments register increasing revenue for FY14. However, PBT of design & manufacturing and distribution & trading segments fall compared to FY13, especially in FY14Q4.

Net cash flow enters negative territory this year, mainly due to investment for future expansion, as well as increasing inventories & receivables. The increasing working capital part does raise a bit of concern earlier but I think it is still manageable at the moment.

Cash & equivalent increases RM2.4mil to RM35mil while borrowing drops RM3.1mil to RM25.9mil.

Overall in FY14, revenue grows 11% but PATAMI falls 1%. ROE falls slightly to 13.1%.


YOCB Historical Financial Results
YOCB (RM mil) FY14 FY13 FY12 FY11 FY10
Revenue 197.9 178.1 153.9 141.0 127.5
Revenue growth % 11.1 15.7 9.1 10.6
PBT 27.2 27.4 23.5 25.2 21.1
PBT% -0.7 16.6 -6.7 19.4
PAT 20.0 20.2 17.3 18.3 15.1
PAT growth % -1.0 16.8 -5.0 21.2






EPS 12.53 12.65 10.8 15.24 15.5
ROE 13.1 14.5




It is great to note that YOCB's revenue is in an uninterrupted increasing trend since listed in FY2010. However, net profit did take a slight dip in FY12 & latest, in FY14. 

EPS for FY14 is 12.5sen, so my own target price will be revised downward to RM1.25.

YOCB has declared a second interim single tier dividend of 2sen, which makes it total 4sen for FY14 which is similar to previous year.

This represents a 32% payout ratio and 3.4% dividend yield at share price of RM1.18.

On the prospect of FY15, the management expects a satisfactory growth in its financial performance, and they always mention this in their financial report.

I'm still undecided whether to keep or sell YOCB. Since it only makes up a small percentage of my portfolio, it is unwise to sell partially. Perhaps I need to wait for another 3 months for next quarter's result. 

Anyway, how will other investors react towards YOCB's latest result?

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